Aktobe 1-1 Atyrau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
20%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+1.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
20%
Away Win
26%
-5.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Atyrau EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.41/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.06
+6% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Atyrau
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
05.07.2025 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 1-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
30.03.2025 Atyrau Atyrau 0-4 HT 0-2 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
11.08.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 1-1 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
07.04.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 1-1 HT 1-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
27.08.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
29.04.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZKK
FAQ Aktobe vs Atyrau
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Aktobe and Atyrau shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Kazakistan - Super League on 17 May 2026. Half-time: 0-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe have the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aktobe and 0.33 for Atyrau.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs Atyrau?

Aktobe 1-1 Atyrau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Atyrau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 49%, draw 31%, Atyrau 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aktobe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aktobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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