Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Cup, 13 May 2026

📅13/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.2pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 15%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.07/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.40
-36% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 189 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zhetysu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
20.07.2025 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
19.04.2025 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
28.07.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-1 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
01.06.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 3-1 HT 3-1 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
01.10.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-2 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
14.03.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent edged past Zhetysu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 0.67 for Zhetysu.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhetysu?

Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Cup on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 62%, draw 23%, Zhetysu 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✓ Under 2.5
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