Kaisar 1-1 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Cup, 13 May 2026

Kaisar
1-1 HT 1-0
Tobol
📅13/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.2pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaisar EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol EU Bookmakers 39%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.60/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.10
+16% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaisar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tobol
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.09.2025 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
15.06.2025 Kaisar Kaisar 1-1 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
10.11.2024 Kaisar Kaisar 2-0 HT 1-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
01.06.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-2 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
13.04.2024 Kaisar Kaisar 0-3 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZKK
06.08.2023 Tobol Tobol 0-2 HT 0-1 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
POST-MATCH Kaisar vs Tobol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaisar and Tobol shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaisar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kaisar and 1.00 for Tobol.

What was the final score of Kaisar vs Tobol?

Kaisar 1-1 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Cup on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaisar vs Tobol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaisar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kaisar 41%, draw 23%, Tobol 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kaisar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kaisar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZKK More Kazakistan - Cup
13 May 2026
17:00 Zhenys vs Kyzyl-Zhar Analysis →
17:00 Aktobe vs Altay Analysis →
18:00 Ordabasy Shymkent vs Zhetysu Analysis →