National Bank of Egypt 1-1 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.27
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.69
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.9pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +31%
1.40/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.15
+3% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.7 Crosses 13.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME National Bank of Egypt
2W-2D-2L
AWAY El Gounah
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 0.90
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
320 Passes 190
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.12.2025 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSRLK
18.10.2025 El Gounah El Gounah 0-3 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
21.01.2025 El Gounah El Gounah 1-2 HT 1-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
17.06.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 1-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
10.01.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 3-1 HT 0-1 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MISLK
14.12.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-3 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME National Bank of Egypt
1-1
AWAY El Gounah
1.32 xG 0.68
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
456 Passes 181
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
32 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH National Bank of Egypt vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

National Bank of Egypt and El Gounah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was National Bank of Egypt at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, National Bank of Egypt had 68% of the ball to El Gounah's 32%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.32 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for National Bank of Egypt and 1.50 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of National Bank of Egypt vs El Gounah?

National Bank of Egypt 1-1 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for National Bank of Egypt vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a National Bank of Egypt win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split National Bank of Egypt 47%, draw 31%, El Gounah 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (National Bank of Egypt), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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