Leixoes 2-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.7
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
27%
2.97
6+ Goals
13%
9.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-2.7pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 21%
-18% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.48/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.85
+6% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.7 Crosses 17.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.26 xG 1.66
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
138 Passes 105
57% Pass Accuracy 51%
29 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.01.2026 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-2 HT 0-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes
2-1
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Leixoes vs Lusitania FC Lourosa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes edged past Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leixoes as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Leixoes had 65% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 35%, shots finished 19-4.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Leixoes 2-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 57%, draw 22%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leixoes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leixoes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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