Portimonense vs Farense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portimonense v Farense — Team-Based Signals
Portimonense vs Farense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Portimonense
POR
2-0
HT 0-0
Farense
POR
2-0
HT 0-0
Farense
POR
Portimonense 1-0 Farense — Actual Match Statistics
Portimonense edged past Farense 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Portimonense made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Portimonense had 46% of the ball to Farense's 54%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 2.27 to 0.89 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Portimonense's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portimonense had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Portimonense and 0.33 for Farense.
What was the final score of Portimonense vs Farense?
Portimonense 1-0 Farense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Farense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 38%, draw 23%, Farense 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.