Antalyaspor 1-0 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 33% vs market 26.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.31/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.10
-11% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.4 Crosses 15.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.41 xG 0.91
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
328 Passes 275
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2025 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-1 HT 2-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
07.01.2025 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-1 HT 2-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TÜK
26.04.2009 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
22.11.2008 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
24.02.2008 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
29.09.2007 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
1-0
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.30 xG 0.38
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
219 Passes 336
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 9
6 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor squeezed past Kocaelispor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Antalyaspor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 41% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 59%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.30 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Antalyaspor and 1.00 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Antalyaspor 1-0 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - Super League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 48%, draw 27%, Kocaelispor 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antalyaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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