Fenerbahçe 3-3 Eyüpspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.45
Draw
15%
4.49
Away
12%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.61
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.52
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
29%
2.52
6+ Goals
13%
5.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.74
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.75
X/1
24%
4.17
X/2
3%
12.55
X/X
6%
7.42
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
18.5
2/2
4%
9.15
2/X
4%
17.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.5 — our 10% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
64%
+8.4pp
15%
Draw
19%
-4.0pp
12%
Away Win
16%
-4.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
2.16/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.72
+16% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
24.3 Crosses 10.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Eyüpspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.18 xG 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
350 Passes 346
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.12.2025 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 0-3 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
18.05.2025 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-1 HT 1-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TSL
20.12.2024 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
3-3
AWAY Eyüpspor
1.33 xG 0.52
78% Ball Possession 22%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
632 Passes 141
88% Pass Accuracy 67%
42 Box Touches 3
29 Crosses 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe and Eyüpspor couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fenerbahçe at 73% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 78% of the ball to Eyüpspor's 22%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.33 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fenerbahçe and 0.67 for Eyüpspor.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor?

Fenerbahçe 3-3 Eyüpspor in the Turkey - Super League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 73%, draw 15%, Eyüpspor 12%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fenerbahçe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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