Fenerbahçe 2-1 Eyüpspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.3
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.98
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.35
2-3 Goals
37%
2.26
4-5 Goals
30%
2.39
6+ Goals
13%
4.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.5
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
19.05
X/1
15%
4.2
X/2
6%
18.05
X/X
6%
9.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
17.95
2/2
6%
13.35
2/X
7%
21.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.95 — our 11% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
72%
-9.0pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.4pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.35/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/2.68
+12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +38%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
35.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
23.6 Crosses 8.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Eyüpspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.38 xG 1.34
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
332 Passes 232
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
34 Box Touches 17
36 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 6
20.12.2024 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
2-1
AWAY Eyüpspor
3.45 xG 1.68
39% Ball Possession 61%
21 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
286 Passes 512
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
30 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe edged past Eyüpspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 39% of the ball to Eyüpspor's 61%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 3.45 to 1.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fenerbahçe's control.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor?

Fenerbahçe 2-1 Eyüpspor in the Turkey - Super League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Eyüpspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 63%, draw 20%, Eyüpspor 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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