Galatasaray 3-0 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.18
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.68
Over 2.5
65%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
8.98
2-3 Goals
37%
2.46
4-5 Goals
28%
2.32
6+ Goals
17%
3.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.3
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
6%
24.65
X/1
17%
4.17
X/2
8%
27.5
X/X
7%
12.45
2/1
6%
18.8
2/2
5%
21.4
2/X
5%
29.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
80%
-14.2pp
18%
Draw
11%
+6.6pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.6pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
2.57/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.04
+2% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
421 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
35.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
26.2 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kayserispor
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.34 xG 1.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
418 Passes 240
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-5 HT 1-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
15.01.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-1 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
12.08.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-0 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
14.04.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 6-0 HT 4-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
15.10.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-1 HT 2-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
12.02.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-1 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
3-0
AWAY Kayserispor
2.72 xG 0.85
59% Ball Possession 41%
24 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
420 Passes 264
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
51 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray cruised past Kayserispor 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Galatasaray had 59% of the ball to Kayserispor's 41%, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 2.72 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Galatasaray and 0.83 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Kayserispor?

Galatasaray 3-0 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 66%, draw 18%, Kayserispor 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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