Samsunspor 1-0 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 27% vs market 22.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.27
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
15%
4.38
X/2
9%
9.28
X/X
13%
5.31
2/1
8%
22.9
2/2
10%
7.2
2/X
7%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.69/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.51
+16% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
16.4 Crosses 15.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sivasspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 0.51
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
370 Passes 356
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
14.01.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
13.08.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
12.02.2017 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
10.09.2016 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor T1L
07.04.2012 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
1-0
AWAY Sivasspor
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
0 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor squeezed past Sivasspor 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Samsunspor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Samsunspor had 58% of the ball to Sivasspor's 42%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sivasspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Samsunspor and 0.83 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Sivasspor?

Samsunspor 1-0 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 50%, draw 27%, Sivasspor 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samsunspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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