Çaykur Rizespor 6-3 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 May 2025

📅18/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.95
Over 2.5
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 30% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.88
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
20%
5.04
X/2
11%
7.33
X/X
12%
4.88
2/1
6%
24.2
2/2
8%
5.17
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -26%
1.69/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.47
+0% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.8 Crosses 18.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Göztepe
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.46 xG 1.68
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
347 Passes 286
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Göztepe Göztepe 3-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
16.05.2023 Göztepe Göztepe 3-3 HT 2-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor T1L
16.12.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-2 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
01.05.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 1-7 HT 1-3 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
11.12.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-1 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
06.04.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 2-0 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
6-3
AWAY Göztepe
2.00 xG 1.93
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
194 Passes 300
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 33
9 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor cruised past Göztepe 6-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Çaykur Rizespor as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 6-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 42% of the ball to Göztepe's 58%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 2.00 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göztepe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 2.00 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Göztepe?

Çaykur Rizespor 6-3 Göztepe in the Turkey - Super League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 46%, draw 27%, Göztepe 27%. The final score 6-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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