Kryvbas KR 2-3 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒14:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
6.41
Draw
16%
4.83
Away Pick
72%
1.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.2
Over
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
42%
4-5
29%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
1%
2/2
48%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Kryvbas KR The Market 16%
Signal
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk The Market 73%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.10 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.05
2.25 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.60
Great Attack Strength Strong
Bad Defense Strength Great
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
240 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1 Yellow Cards 1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kryvbas KR
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 HT 1-2 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
06.03.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 HT 0-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
01.09.2024 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 0-1 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
03.03.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 5-2 HT 2-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
20.08.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 3-3 HT 2-3 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
12.03.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 0-3 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kryvbas KR
2 - 3
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
22% Ball Possession 78%
5 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Shakhtar Donetsk shaded a tight game against Kryvbas KR 3-2 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Shakhtar Donetsk saw more of the ball, 78% to 22%, shots finished 5-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Kryvbas KR against 2.50 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk Result & Final Score

Kryvbas KR 2 - 3 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Kryvbas KR vs Shakhtar Donetsk Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Kryvbas KR 12%, draw 16%, Shakhtar Donetsk 72%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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