Neman Grodno 4-0 Urartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
27%
3.7
6+ Goals
11%
16.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.7pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Urartu EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
460 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neman Grodno
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Urartu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
10.07.2025 Urartu Urartu 1-2 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neman Grodno
4-0
AWAY Urartu
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Neman Grodno vs Urartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno ran out comfortable winners over Urartu 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Neman Grodno had 38% of the ball to Urartu's 62%, shots finished 5-7.

What was the final score of Neman Grodno vs Urartu?

Neman Grodno 4-0 Urartu in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neman Grodno vs Urartu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Neman Grodno 47%, draw 21%, Urartu 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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