HJK Helsinki 5-0 NSI Runavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.42
Draw
28%
4.81
Away
28%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.46
Over 2.5
55%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
8.07
2-3 Goals
34%
2.34
4-5 Goals
29%
2.31
6+ Goals
14%
3.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
66%
-22.5pp
28%
Draw
18%
+10.7pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+11.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
25%
+19.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
75%
-19.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.3pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY NSI Runavik EU Bookmakers 19%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-48% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
419 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
0W-0D-1L
AWAY NSI Runavik
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
10.07.2025 NSI Runavik NSI Runavik 4-0 HT 2-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
5-0
AWAY NSI Runavik
77% Ball Possession 23%
44 Total Shots 6
16 Shots on Target 1
20 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs NSI Runavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki ran out comfortable winners over NSI Runavik 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 77% of the ball to NSI Runavik's 23%, shots finished 44-6.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs NSI Runavik?

HJK Helsinki 5-0 NSI Runavik in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs NSI Runavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 44%, draw 28%, NSI Runavik 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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