Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-6.9pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 21%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+110% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
10.07.2025 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 4-3 HT 2-2 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent AVKL
18.07.2019 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 0-2 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent AVL
11.07.2019 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
1-1
AWAY Torpedo Kutaisi
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Torpedo Kutaisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent and Torpedo Kutaisi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ordabasy Shymkent at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ordabasy Shymkent had 68% of the ball to Torpedo Kutaisi's 32%, shots finished 15-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ordabasy Shymkent had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.33 for Torpedo Kutaisi.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Torpedo Kutaisi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 53%, draw 22%, Torpedo Kutaisi 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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