BFC Daugavpils 2-4 Vllaznia Shkoder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.35
6+ Goals
11%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
28%
+12.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-8.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vllaznia Shkoder EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Daugavpils
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vllaznia Shkoder
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29% Ball Possession 71%
2 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.07.2025 Vllaznia Shkoder Vllaznia Shkoder 0-1 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFC Daugavpils
2-4
AWAY Vllaznia Shkoder
3 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH BFC Daugavpils vs Vllaznia Shkoder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vllaznia Shkoder got the better of BFC Daugavpils 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 22% / 38% — and on the day Vllaznia Shkoder made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 3-4.

What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Vllaznia Shkoder?

BFC Daugavpils 2-4 Vllaznia Shkoder in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Vllaznia Shkoder?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 41%, draw 22%, Vllaznia Shkoder 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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