FC Flora Tallinn 1-2 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.78
2-3 Goals
33%
1.81
4-5 Goals
30%
3.03
6+ Goals
13%
9.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+8.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
45%
-10.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.0pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+6% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Valur
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
2 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.07.2025 Valur Valur 3-0 HT 3-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
1-2
AWAY Valur
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur edged past FC Flora Tallinn 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Valur made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 59% of the ball to Valur's 41%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Valur?

FC Flora Tallinn 1-2 Valur in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 38%, draw 27%, Valur 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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