Botafogo vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botafogo v Santos — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Santos
BR1
2-2
HT 1-0
Botafogo
BR1
3-0
HT 1-0
Santos
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo
BR1
Botafogo 2-1 Santos — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo nicked a narrow win over Santos 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Botafogo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, shots finished 17-21, expected goals 2.97 to 2.63.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Botafogo and 1.17 for Santos.
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Santos?
Botafogo 2-1 Santos in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Santos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 47%, draw 27%, Santos 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.