Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Vitoria
BR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Vasco da Gama
BR2
Vitoria 1-0 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria edged past Vasco da Gama 1-0 in the Brazil - Serie A on 17 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.57 to 0.63.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vitoria and 1.50 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama?
Vitoria 1-0 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 43%, draw 27%, Vasco da Gama 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.