Botafogo 2-2 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.99
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.19
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.8
X/1
24%
4.11
X/2
9%
9.73
X/X
12%
4.87
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
12%
8.15
2/X
5%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.48/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.38
+21% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.3 Crosses 17.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Santos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.15 xG 1.09
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
370 Passes 298
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.06.2025 Santos Santos 0-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
26.11.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 1-1 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
23.07.2023 Santos Santos 2-2 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
11.11.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 3-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
21.07.2022 Santos Santos 2-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
17.01.2021 Santos Santos 2-1 HT 1-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
2-2
AWAY Santos
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
368 Passes 277
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Botafogo vs Santos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo and Santos couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Botafogo at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Botafogo had 55% of the ball to Santos's 45%, shots finished 18-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Botafogo and 1.17 for Santos.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Santos?

Botafogo 2-2 Santos in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Santos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 50%, draw 25%, Santos 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Botafogo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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