Gremio 3-1 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
17.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.38
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
4%
14.3
X/1
18%
4.23
X/2
8%
8.77
X/X
14%
4.63
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
8%
7.25
2/X
8%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gremio EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
1.55/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.37
+8% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
17.9 Crosses 17.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gremio
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Juventude
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.54 xG 1.16
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
361 Passes 330
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.06.2025 Juventude Juventude 0-2 HT 0-2 Gremio Gremio BR1
21.11.2024 Gremio Gremio 2-2 HT 1-1 Juventude Juventude BR1
07.07.2024 Juventude Juventude 3-0 HT 2-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
10.02.2023 Juventude Juventude 2-3 HT 0-3 Gremio Gremio BRG1
14.02.2022 Gremio Gremio 1-1 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BRG1
18.10.2021 Gremio Gremio 3-2 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gremio
3-1
AWAY Juventude
2.67 xG 0.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
300 Passes 282
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Gremio vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gremio beat Juventude 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gremio as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gremio had 51% of the ball to Juventude's 49%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.67 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gremio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gremio and 1.67 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Gremio vs Juventude?

Gremio 3-1 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gremio vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gremio win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gremio 51%, draw 27%, Juventude 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gremio), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gremio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
26 Oct 2025
00:00 Botafogo vs Santos Analysis →
00:30 Sport Recife vs Mirassol FC Analysis →
01:30 Fortaleza vs Flamengo Analysis →
03:30 Sao Paulo vs Bahia Analysis →