Fortaleza vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Flamengo
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Fortaleza
BR1
3-2
HT 1-2
Flamengo
BR1
Fortaleza 1-0 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza squeezed past Flamengo 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Flamengo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Fortaleza had 19% of the ball to Flamengo's 81%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.89 to 1.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fortaleza and 2.00 for Flamengo.
What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Flamengo?
Fortaleza 1-0 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Flamengo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 21%, draw 30%, Flamengo 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Flamengo), BTTS Yes went the other way.