Chelmsford City 1-1 Hampton & Richmond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.47
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.43
6+ Goals
11%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.64/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.49
-9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 0-1 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
12.08.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-1 HT 1-1 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
11.03.2023 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 2-1 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
12.11.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
12.02.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond İCON
09.10.2021 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 4-2 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Hampton & Richmond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City and Hampton & Richmond shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chelmsford City at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hampton & Richmond led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chelmsford City and 1.50 for Hampton & Richmond.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Hampton & Richmond?

Chelmsford City 1-1 Hampton & Richmond in the England - Conference on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Hampton & Richmond?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 49%, draw 23%, Hampton & Richmond 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelmsford City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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