Dorking Wanderers 1-0 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.6pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.3pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 19%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +28%
2.49/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.25
+35% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +45%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Chippenham Town
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.04.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-0 HT 3-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
04.12.2021 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 4-1 HT 3-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
28.12.2019 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
03.09.2019 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1-0
AWAY Chippenham Town
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Chippenham Town 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 60% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 40%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 1.00 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Chippenham Town?

Dorking Wanderers 1-0 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 53%, draw 25%, Chippenham Town 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers)
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