Macclesfield 3-1 Guiseley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.21
Over
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
59%
-16.5pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.8pp
30%
Away Win
19%
+10.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macclesfield The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Guiseley The Market 22%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.55/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.65
+24% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macclesfield
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Guiseley
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
27.01.2024 Guiseley Guiseley 1-2 HT 0-1 Macclesfield Macclesfield İNGNLP
25.11.2023 Macclesfield Macclesfield 5-1 HT 2-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
29.10.2022 Macclesfield Macclesfield 0-2 Guiseley Guiseley FAK
POST-MATCH Macclesfield vs Guiseley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macclesfield saw off Guiseley 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Macclesfield as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Macclesfield had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Macclesfield and 1.33 for Guiseley.

What was the final score of Macclesfield vs Guiseley?

Macclesfield 3-1 Guiseley in the England - Non League Premier on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macclesfield vs Guiseley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Macclesfield 43%, draw 28%, Guiseley 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macclesfield), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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