Guiseley 1-2 Macclesfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.15
Over
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No Pick
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
34%
Away Win
44%
-9.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.0pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley The Market 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Macclesfield The Market 48%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.92/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.18
+34% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guiseley
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Macclesfield
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
25.11.2023 Macclesfield Macclesfield 5-1 HT 2-1 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
29.10.2022 Macclesfield Macclesfield 0-2 Guiseley Guiseley FAK
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs Macclesfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macclesfield nicked a narrow win over Guiseley 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Macclesfield made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guiseley and 2.50 for Macclesfield.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs Macclesfield?

Guiseley 1-2 Macclesfield in the England - Non League Premier on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Macclesfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 39%, draw 27%, Macclesfield 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guiseley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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