Everton 0-3 Brighton & Hove Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

Everton
0-3 HT 0-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 27% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.27
1/2
5%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
9%
6.19
X/2
18%
5.13
X/X
12%
4.54
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
18%
3.28
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Everton v Brighton & Hove Albion — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.32/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.11
-32% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
20.9 Crosses 16.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.29 xG 1.65
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
250 Passes 547
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP
04.11.2023 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
08.05.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-5 HT 0-3 Everton Everton İNP
03.01.2023 Everton Everton 1-4 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
02.01.2022 Everton Everton 2-3 HT 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
28.08.2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-2 HT 0-1 Everton Everton İNP

Everton 0-3 Brighton & Hove Albion — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
0-3
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
0.45 xG 1.43
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
266 Passes 491
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion cruised past Everton 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brighton & Hove Albion as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Everton had 38% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 62%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.45 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Everton and 1.67 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

What was the final score of Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Everton 0-3 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Everton 34%, draw 26%, Brighton & Hove Albion 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✗ BTTS Yes
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