PAOK 3-2 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.25
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.15
2-3 Goals
43%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
7.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.38
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
27.0
X/1
18%
3.39
X/2
5%
25.5
X/X
8%
8.96
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
5%
20.1
2/X
4%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
76%
-10.2pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.5pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.3pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.92/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.89
+5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -12%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
419 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
21.4 Crosses 10.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Panserraikos
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.54 xG 0.54
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
596 Passes 246
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
31.01.2024 PAOK PAOK 5-0 HT 2-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
17.01.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-4 HT 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUK
25.11.2023 PAOK PAOK 5-0 HT 2-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
05.01.2011 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-1 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
29.08.2010 PAOK PAOK 3-2 HT 1-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
3-2
AWAY Panserraikos
3.00 xG 2.13
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
430 Passes 218
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PAOK vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PAOK nicked a narrow win over Panserraikos 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, PAOK had 64% of the ball to Panserraikos's 36%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 3.00 to 2.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for PAOK and 0.50 for Panserraikos.

What was the final score of PAOK vs Panserraikos?

PAOK 3-2 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split PAOK 65%, draw 20%, Panserraikos 14%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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