Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.34
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.2
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
30%
2.74
6+ Goals
9%
7.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
70%
-4.1pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.7pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 15%
-15% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.40/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.22
-24% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
31.0 Crosses 17.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Nanjing City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.58 xG 0.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
266 Passes 228
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 5
21 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.04.2025 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
28.09.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
11.05.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-2 HT 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
1-0
AWAY Nanjing City
1.30 xG 0.35
76% Ball Possession 24%
25 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 3
356 Passes 75
82% Pass Accuracy 52%
22 Box Touches 5
33 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long squeezed past Nanjing City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 76% of the ball to Nanjing City's 24%, shots finished 25-4, expected goals 1.30 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chongqing Tongliang Long had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chongqing Tongliang Long and 0.33 for Nanjing City.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Nanjing City?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 66%, draw 18%, Nanjing City 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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