Ipswich Town 1-1 Southampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 17 Aug 2025

Ipswich Town
1-1 HT 1-1
Southampton
📅17/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Ipswich Town vs Southampton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
1.95
Over Pick
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.69
No
43%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.41
2-3
38%
1.76
4-5
25%
3.23
6+
12%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.54
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
11%
4.56
X/2
9%
7.77
X/X
11%
4.93
2/1 ✗
10%
23.2
2/2
11%
5.77
2/X
6%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.2 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Ipswich Town v Southampton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Ipswich Town The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton The Market 29%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.81 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.84
0.91 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.61
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Bad
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
326 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.4 Crosses 15.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Ipswich Town vs Southampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Southampton
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.29 xG 1.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 Passes 426
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.02.2025 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Southampton Southampton İNP
21.09.2024 Southampton Southampton 1-1 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
01.04.2024 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 3-2 HT 1-2 Southampton Southampton İNCL
19.09.2023 Southampton Southampton 0-1 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
14.01.2015 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Southampton Southampton FAK
04.01.2015 Southampton Southampton 1-1 HT 1-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town FAK

Ipswich Town 1-1 Southampton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
1-1
AWAY Southampton
1.64 xG 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
269 Passes 285
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Ipswich Town vs Southampton
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ipswich Town and Southampton traded blows to a 1-1 standstill.

Our pre-match lean was Ipswich Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Small consolation: at 1.89 (roughly 53%) the price was further off than we were. The goals card split: both teams to score (57%) came in, over 2.5 goals (57%) didn't.

The match data tells the story: Ipswich Town had 50% of the ball to Southampton's 50%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.64 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.17 for Southampton.

Ipswich Town vs Southampton Result & Final Score

Ipswich Town 1-1 Southampton in the England - Championship on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ipswich Town vs Southampton Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 46%, draw 25%, Southampton 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ipswich Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
17 Aug 2025
17:00 Hull City vs Oxford United Analysis →