Ipswich Town 1-2 Southampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.69
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.5
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
16%
4.67
X/2
9%
8.12
X/X
14%
5.07
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
14%
5.92
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -16%
1.40/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.64
-20% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
318 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
Crosses 19.4
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ipswich Town
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Southampton
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.56
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
297 Passes 464
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Southampton Southampton 1-1 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
01.04.2024 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 3-2 HT 1-2 Southampton Southampton İNCL
19.09.2023 Southampton Southampton 0-1 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
14.01.2015 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Southampton Southampton FAK
04.01.2015 Southampton Southampton 1-1 HT 1-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town FAK
06.03.2012 Southampton Southampton 1-1 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ipswich Town
1-2
AWAY Southampton
1.84 xG 0.91
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
458 Passes 312
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ipswich Town vs Southampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton nicked a narrow win over Ipswich Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ipswich Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ipswich Town had 57% of the ball to Southampton's 43%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.84 to 0.91 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ipswich Town.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ipswich Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.00 for Southampton.

What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Southampton?

Ipswich Town 1-2 Southampton in the England - Premier League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Southampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 41%, draw 29%, Southampton 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ipswich Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ipswich Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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