Bournemouth 0-2 Liverpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 1 Feb 2025

Bournemouth
0-2 HT 0-1
Liverpool
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Bournemouth vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
51%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.5
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.55
6+ Goals
12%
5.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.43
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
19.05
1/X
5%
14.35
X/1
13%
9.59
X/2
19%
4.64
X/X
8%
6.5
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.13
2/X
7%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.05 — our 9% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+6.1pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.7pp
51%
Away Win
54%
-3.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.7pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bournemouth v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool EU Bookmakers 58%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.34/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.26
-20% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 83%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.6
17.0 Crosses 19.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Bournemouth vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bournemouth
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Liverpool
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.99 xG 2.22
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 7
232 Passes 512
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 3-0 HT 3-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
21.01.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-4 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
01.11.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-2 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNLK
19.08.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 3-1 HT 2-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
11.03.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
27.08.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 9-0 HT 5-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP

Bournemouth 0-2 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bournemouth
0-2
AWAY Liverpool
1.58 xG 2.52
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
324 Passes 348
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bournemouth vs Liverpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool got the better of Bournemouth 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bournemouth had 49% of the ball to Liverpool's 51%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 1.58 to 2.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bournemouth and 3.50 for Liverpool.

What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Liverpool?

Bournemouth 0-2 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Liverpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 29%, draw 20%, Liverpool 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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