Everton vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Everton v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals
Everton vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Everton
İNP
0-2
HT 0-1
Leicester City
İNP
1-2
HT 1-2
Everton
İNP
1-1
HT 0-1
Leicester City
İNP
1-1
HT 1-0
Leicester City
İNP
Everton 4-0 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics
Everton cruised past Leicester City 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Everton as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Everton had 47% of the ball to Leicester City's 53%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.46 to 0.33.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Everton and 1.33 for Leicester City.
What was the final score of Everton vs Leicester City?
Everton 4-0 Leicester City in the England - Premier League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Everton vs Leicester City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Everton 49%, draw 24%, Leicester City 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Everton), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.