Wolverhampton 2-0 Aston Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.32
1/2
9%
25.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
8%
6.47
X/2
11%
5.4
X/X
10%
4.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
29.5
2/2
20%
3.24
2/X
8%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 11% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.31/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.26
+2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
20.1 Crosses 16.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aston Villa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 1.64
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
310 Passes 376
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-1 HT 0-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
30.03.2024 Aston Villa Aston Villa 2-0 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
08.10.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-1 HT 0-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
06.05.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 1-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
04.01.2023 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1-1 HT 0-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
02.04.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-1 HT 2-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
2-0
AWAY Aston Villa
1.63 xG 0.45
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
200 Passes 493
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Aston Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton got the better of Aston Villa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Wolverhampton found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 31% of the ball to Aston Villa's 69%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.63 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wolverhampton and 1.33 for Aston Villa.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Aston Villa?

Wolverhampton 2-0 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Aston Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 36%, draw 24%, Aston Villa 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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