Newcastle United 1-2 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 1 Feb 2025

Newcastle United
1-2 HT 1-0
Fulham
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Newcastle United vs Fulham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.18
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
16%
4.43
X/2
7%
9.59
X/X
8%
5.46
2/1
7%
21.55
2/2
15%
7.17
2/X
9%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle United v Fulham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
2.30/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.68
+16% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
36.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
20.5 Crosses 18.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Newcastle United vs Fulham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Fulham
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.21 xG 1.07
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
422 Passes 320
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Fulham Fulham 3-1 HT 2-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
06.04.2024 Fulham Fulham 0-1 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
16.12.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 3-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
15.01.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
01.10.2022 Fulham Fulham 1-4 HT 0-3 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
23.05.2021 Fulham Fulham 0-2 HT 0-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP

Newcastle United 1-2 Fulham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United
1-2
AWAY Fulham
0.75 xG 1.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
332 Passes 353
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Newcastle United vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham nicked a narrow win over Newcastle United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Newcastle United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Newcastle United had 48% of the ball to Fulham's 52%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.75 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Newcastle United and 0.67 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Fulham?

Newcastle United 1-2 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 46%, draw 25%, Fulham 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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