Hammarby 1-2 GAIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 27% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.49
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
18%
4.6
X/2
10%
7.79
X/X
9%
5.3
2/1
10%
21.95
2/2
10%
5.59
2/X
5%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.6pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.0pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY GAIS EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.71/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.42
+33% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
438 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
20.6 Crosses 19.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
0W-4D-2L
AWAY GAIS
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.99 xG 1.55
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
508 Passes 258
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 4
13.07.2025 GAIS GAIS 3-2 HT 1-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
26.08.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 0-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
07.07.2024 GAIS GAIS 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
25.02.2018 Hammarby Hammarby 3-3 HT 1-2 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
26.10.2014 GAIS GAIS 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ2
18.06.2014 Hammarby Hammarby 1-3 HT 1-2 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
1-2
AWAY GAIS
1.28 xG 1.31
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
521 Passes 306
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs GAIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS squeezed past Hammarby 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hammarby at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hammarby had 62% of the ball to GAIS's 38%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.28 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, GAIS led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hammarby and 1.50 for GAIS.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs GAIS?

Hammarby 1-2 GAIS in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs GAIS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 52%, draw 21%, GAIS 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hammarby), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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