Mjallby 1-1 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 28% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.91
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
17%
4.97
X/2
10%
6.85
X/X
9%
4.82
2/1
9%
24.1
2/2
16%
4.78
2/X
10%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.90/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.30
+17% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
21.1 Crosses 16.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Djurgarden
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 1.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
356 Passes 404
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2025 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-3 HT 1-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
15.09.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-1 HT 1-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
25.05.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-3 HT 0-2 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
30.07.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-1 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
21.05.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
06.11.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
1-1
AWAY Djurgarden
1.07 xG 2.05
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
499 Passes 220
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby and Djurgarden couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mjallby at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mjallby had 67% of the ball to Djurgarden's 33%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.07 to 2.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mjallby and 1.33 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Djurgarden?

Mjallby 1-1 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 43%, draw 25%, Djurgarden 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mjallby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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