Casarano 1-0 Team Altamura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.69
4-5 Goals
19%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 30% vs market 30.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casarano EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Team Altamura EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casarano
1-0
AWAY Team Altamura
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Casarano vs Team Altamura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casarano nicked a narrow win over Team Altamura 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Casarano made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Casarano had 56% of the ball to Team Altamura's 44%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Casarano vs Team Altamura?

Casarano 1-0 Team Altamura in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casarano vs Team Altamura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casarano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Casarano 38%, draw 28%, Team Altamura 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casarano), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Casarano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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