Fylkir 4-0 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2025

Fylkir
4-0 HT 1-0
Keflavik
📅17/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Iceland - 1st Division – 2025

Fylkir vs Keflavik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
44%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.41
No
36%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
37%
+7.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
67%
-2.4pp
36%
BTTS No
33%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fylkir v Keflavik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 40%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.38/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.72
-22% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
292 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.3

Fylkir vs Keflavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Keflavik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.10 xG 1.45
45% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
256 Passes 355
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.06.2025 Keflavik Keflavik 1-1 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL1
01.10.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 1-3 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
23.06.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
10.04.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 1-2 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
25.02.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 2-2 HT 1-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZLK
08.08.2021 Keflavik Keflavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL

Fylkir 4-0 Keflavik — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fylkir
4-0
AWAY Keflavik
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fylkir cruised past Keflavik 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Keflavik at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

On the day, Fylkir had 55% of the ball to Keflavik's 45%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fylkir and 1.33 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs Keflavik?

Fylkir 4-0 Keflavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 34%, draw 22%, Keflavik 44%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Keflavik), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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