IR Reykjavik 0-1 Thor Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.46
No
34%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.8pp
66%
BTTS Yes
64%
+1.7pp
34%
BTTS No
36%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.48/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.72
-16% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IR Reykjavik
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
09.06.2025 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-1 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZL1
19.04.2025 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 3-1 HT 2-1 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZK
31.08.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-1 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZL1
30.06.2024 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
POST-MATCH IR Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri nicked a narrow win over IR Reykjavik 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Thor Akureyri made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Thor Akureyri led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IR Reykjavik and 1.50 for Thor Akureyri.

What was the final score of IR Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?

IR Reykjavik 0-1 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - 1st Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IR Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IR Reykjavik 37%, draw 23%, Thor Akureyri 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thor Akureyri) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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