APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-0 Sutherland Sharks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
67%
-8.0pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.0pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.9pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutherland Sharks EU Bookmakers 18%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.55
+2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +27%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
508 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.1 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Sutherland Sharks
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.99 xG 1.49
48% Ball Possession 52%
22 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
323 Passes 349
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2025 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-2 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
07.07.2024 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3-2 HT 0-2 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
30.03.2024 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-7 HT 0-4 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
24.06.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0 HT 0-0 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks AVNPL
11.03.2023 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 0-1 HT 0-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
13.07.2022 Sutherland Sharks Sutherland Sharks 1-1 HT 1-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

APIA Leichhardt Tigers swept aside Sutherland Sharks 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had APIA Leichhardt Tigers as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 0.50 for Sutherland Sharks.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-0 Sutherland Sharks in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sutherland Sharks?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 59%, draw 21%, Sutherland Sharks 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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