St. Albans Saints 1-5 Dandenong Thunder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
51%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.9pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.4pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-1.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans Saints EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.68/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.74/1.15
+11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
226 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.5 Crosses 20.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans Saints
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dandenong Thunder
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.31 xG 1.37
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
143 Passes 400
56% Pass Accuracy 80%
4 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 4
03.05.2025 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 2-2 HT 1-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
28.07.2024 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 1-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
27.04.2024 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-0 HT 2-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
27.05.2023 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints 0-4 HT 0-3 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
25.02.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 4-4 HT 0-2 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
30.07.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Albans Saints St. Albans Saints AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. Albans Saints vs Dandenong Thunder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong Thunder swept aside St. Albans Saints 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dandenong Thunder as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dandenong Thunder led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Albans Saints and 2.33 for Dandenong Thunder.

What was the final score of St. Albans Saints vs Dandenong Thunder?

St. Albans Saints 1-5 Dandenong Thunder in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans Saints vs Dandenong Thunder?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dandenong Thunder win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split St. Albans Saints 30%, draw 19%, Dandenong Thunder 51%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dandenong Thunder), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dandenong Thunder) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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