Sumqayıt 3-0 Kapaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
14%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.1pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaz EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.17/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.40
-8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kapaz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
10.03.2025 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 3-0 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
20.12.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 0-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
04.05.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
01.03.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-3 HT 0-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
14.12.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 1-1 HT 1-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
08.10.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Kapaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sumqayıt ran out comfortable winners over Kapaz 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sumqayıt as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sumqayıt had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sumqayıt and 0.83 for Kapaz.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Kapaz?

Sumqayıt 3-0 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Kapaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 48%, draw 30%, Kapaz 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sumqayıt), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sumqayıt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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