Khorfakkan vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Khorfakkan v Al Jazira Abu Dhabi — Team-Based Signals
Khorfakkan vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 3-0
Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
BAE
1-1
HT 0-1
Khorfakkan
BAE
2-4
HT 1-0
Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
BAE
Khorfakkan 3-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi — Actual Match Statistics
Khorfakkan nicked a narrow win over Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Jazira Abu Dhabi at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.
On the day, Khorfakkan had 37% of the ball to Al Jazira Abu Dhabi's 63%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 1.55 to 2.81 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Jazira Abu Dhabi.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Khorfakkan and 2.33 for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi.
What was the final score of Khorfakkan vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?
Khorfakkan 3-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi in the UAE - League on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Khorfakkan vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Khorfakkan 17%, draw 22%, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 61%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) went the other way.