Atletico Paranaense 1-1 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
16%
4.76
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.52
Over
36%
2.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.43
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.02
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
15%
5.5
6+
2%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
2%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Atletico Paranaense The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba The Market 21%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.44 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.72
0.76 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.56
Bad Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
26 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cuiaba
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.35 xG 1.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
398 Passes 299
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2025 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR2
29.07.2024 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
14.04.2024 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 4-0 HT 3-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
07.12.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
16.08.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-0 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
19.09.2022 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-2 HT 2-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
1 - 1
AWAY Cuiaba
1.80 xG 0.42
74% Ball Possession 26%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
487 Passes 146
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 11
43 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Atletico Paranaense vs Cuiaba
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atletico Paranaense and Cuiaba finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Atletico Paranaense at 56% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (64%) came in, no to both teams scoring (60%) didn't.

By the numbers, Atletico Paranaense had 74% of the ball to Cuiaba's 26%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.80 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.33 for Cuiaba.

Atletico Paranaense vs Cuiaba Result & Final Score

Atletico Paranaense 1 - 1 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atletico Paranaense vs Cuiaba Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 56%, draw 28%, Cuiaba 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Paranaense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
17 Aug 2025
00:30 Vila Nova vs Goias Analysis →
22:00 Chapecoense vs Paysandu Analysis →