Cheonan City 0-1 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 29% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
46%
Away Win
46%
+0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
0.91/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.02
-24% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
14.5 Crosses 22.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Busan I Park
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
481 Passes 367
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-1 HT 1-1 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
02.11.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-3 HT 1-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
22.05.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-3 HT 2-1 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
10.04.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-4 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
07.10.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
05.08.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-0 HT 1-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheonan City
0-1
AWAY Busan I Park
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
389 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
9 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park squeezed past Cheonan City 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Busan I Park as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cheonan City had 51% of the ball to Busan I Park's 49%, shots finished 5-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cheonan City and 2.00 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Busan I Park?

Cheonan City 0-1 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 27%, draw 27%, Busan I Park 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✓ Under 2.5
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