Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 FK Riteriai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.45
Draw
14%
4.19
Away
12%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
29%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
65%
+9.2pp
14%
Draw
21%
-6.6pp
12%
Away Win
15%
-2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.77/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/2.41
+4% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -47%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FK Riteriai
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
09.05.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
07.03.2025 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 3-3 HT 1-3 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
17.09.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 2-6 HT 1-2 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
06.07.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
03.05.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-2 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
19.03.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
2-1
AWAY FK Riteriai
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Riteriai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius nicked a narrow win over FK Riteriai 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 53% of the ball to FK Riteriai's 47%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 0.83 for FK Riteriai.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Riteriai?

Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 FK Riteriai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Riteriai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 74%, draw 14%, FK Riteriai 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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