Dziugas Telsiai 1-2 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
59%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
17%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
59%
Away Win
56%
+2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 60%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.80/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.80
-25% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.05.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
08.03.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 HT 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
27.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
04.08.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 2-3 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
02.06.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
10.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
POST-MATCH Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris nicked a narrow win over Dziugas Telsiai 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dziugas Telsiai and 1.50 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Dziugas Telsiai 1-2 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Dziugas Telsiai 18%, draw 24%, Kauno Zalgiris 59%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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