Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
25%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.9pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.9pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-7.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 57%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.29/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/0.90
+21% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 HT 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
27.10.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
04.08.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 2-3 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
02.06.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
10.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
21.10.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
0-1
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris nicked a narrow win over Dziugas Telsiai 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dziugas Telsiai had 44% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 56%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dziugas Telsiai and 1.67 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dziugas Telsiai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dziugas Telsiai 22%, draw 32%, Kauno Zalgiris 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5
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